Analysis

From Warlords to Statelords: Armed Groups and Power Trajectories in Libya and Yemen
MED Reports

From Warlords to Statelords: Armed Groups and Power Trajectories in Libya and Yemen

di Talbot Valeria | 30/11/2022

After Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and its weaponisation of natural gas supplies, energy security has become a top political priority for Europe. Given the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region’s abundant oil and gas resources, the European countries inevitably turned to the region to make up for the shortfall. This Report analyses the impact

From Warlords to Statelords: Armed Groups and Power Trajectories in Libya and Yemen
MED Reports

From Warlords to Statelords: Armed Groups and Power Trajectories in Libya and Yemen

di Ardemagni Eleonora | 24/11/2022

Armed groups play a central role in Libya and Yemen. Pervading weak and contested institutions, they have gradually brought their survival, profit and governance strategies under the state umbrella: warlords have become the new lords of the state. Armed groups control most of the energy revenues, critical infrastructure, smuggling and illicit trafficking. Their leaders are

COP 27: Relaunching Climate Action in a Burning MENA region
ISPI MED this Week

COP 27: Relaunching Climate Action in a Burning MENA region

11/11/2022

The MED This Week newsletter provides expert analysis and informed comments upon the MENA region’s most significant issues and trends. Today, we place the spotlight upon COP27, the 27th annual UN meeting, hosted this year in the Egyptian city of Sharm El-Sheikh.The Mediterranean region is currently warming 20% faster than the global average: devastating heatwaves, water shortages,

Israel: New Elections, Old Deadlock
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Israel: New Elections, Old Deadlock

01/11/2022

The MED This Week newsletter provides expert analysis and informed comments on the MENA region’s most significant issues and trends. Today, we focus on Israel, where the upcoming elections have been shaped once again by the polarisation around the figure of former PM Benjamin Netanyahu. On November the 1st, Israelis will head to the polls for the

Little Hopes for the Arab League as Global Crises Loom
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Little Hopes for the Arab League as Global Crises Loom

28/10/2022

The MED This Week newsletter provides expert analysis and informed comments on the MENA region’s most significant issues and trends. Today, we focus on the upcoming 31st Arab League Summit, where representatives of national governments will convene in Algeria, after a hiatus of more than three years, to address the most relevant current issues concerning the

The Eastern Mediterranean Energy-Geopolitics Nexus
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The Eastern Mediterranean Energy-Geopolitics Nexus

21/10/2022

The MED This Week newsletter provides expert analysis and informed comments on the MENA region’s most significant issues and trends. Today, we sharpen the focus upon recent developments unfolding within the Eastern Mediterranean region marked by, among others, an historic maritime border deal struck by Israel and Lebanon. Several developments worthy of close attention are currently

Bin Zayed in Russia: A Headache for Washington?
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Bin Zayed in Russia: A Headache for Washington?

13/10/2022

The MED This Week newsletter provides expert analysis and informed comments on the MENA region’s most significant issues and trends. Today, we focus upon the visit that the Emirati President Mohammed bin Zayed paid to Russian President Vladimir Putin in Saint Petersburg. On Tuesday, October the 11th, the Emirati President Mohammed bin Zayed (MBZ) travelled to Russia

The Truce Is Over: Yemen’s Leap Into the Void?
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The Truce Is Over: Yemen’s Leap Into the Void?

07/10/2022

The MED This Week newsletter provides expert analysis and informed insights upon the most significant developments within the MENA region, bringing together unique opinions on the topic and reliable foresight on possible future scenarios. Today, we turn the spotlight on Yemen, where the expiry of a six-month ceasefire threatens to rekindle the war and aggravate the condition

Women, Life, Freedom: Iran at a Crossroads
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Women, Life, Freedom: Iran at a Crossroads

29/09/2022

The MED This Week newsletter provides expert analysis and informed comments upon the MENA region’s most significant issues and trends. Today, the focus is on Iran, where widespread protests over the killing of 22-year-old Mahsa Amini have shaken the country for the last two weeks, posing a new existential challenge to the Raisi administration. For almost

The Unbearable Cost of Inflation in the MENA Region
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The Unbearable Cost of Inflation in the MENA Region

23/09/2022

The MED This Week newsletter provides expert analysis and informed insights on the most significant developments in the MENA region, bringing together unique opinions on the topic and reliable foresight on future scenarios. Today, we turn the spotlight on the rising inflation rates that many countries in the region are currently experiencing.   For several months

Egypt-Qatar Relations: Melting of the Ice?
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Egypt-Qatar Relations: Melting of the Ice?

15/09/2022

The MED This Week newsletter provides expert analysis and informed comments on the MENA region’s most significant issues and trends. Today, we turn the spotlight upon Egypt-Qatar relations, as we look at President Abdel Fattah Al-Sisi’s inaugural visit to Doha after a four-year rift between the two countries. On September 13 and 14, the Egyptian President,

Iran Deal: From “Close to Revive” to “Close to Stalling”?
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Iran Deal: From “Close to Revive” to “Close to Stalling”?

09/09/2022

The MED This Week newsletter provides expert analysis and informed comments on the MENA region’s most significant issues and trends. Today, we place the spotlight upon Iran and the negotiations to revive the nuclear deal.     During the last weeks, cautious optimism has emerged over the possibility that an agreement upon the restoration of the Joint

Iraq: How a Political Deadlock Turns Violent
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Iraq: How a Political Deadlock Turns Violent

03/09/2022

The MED This Week newsletter provides expert analysis and informed commentary upon the most significant issues and trends in the MENA region. Today we focus on Iraq, where a new wave of violence between conflicting Shia factions has erupted within the capital and across the country. In the midst of a deepening political crisis, clashes have

Europe’s bumpy road to energy security: Heading to the Middle East?
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Europe’s bumpy road to energy security: Heading to the Middle East?

25/08/2022

The MED This Week newsletter provides expert analysis and informed comments on the MENA region’s most significant issues and trends. Today we explore the potential emerging levels of energy interaction between European markets in search for non-Russian resources and countries of the Southern neighbourhood. Once again, looming energy shocks are threatening Europe. On August the 22nd, following

The Sadrist Gamble: A Make-or-Break Moment for Iraq?
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The Sadrist Gamble: A Make-or-Break Moment for Iraq?

05/08/2022

The MED This Week newsletter provides expert analysis and informed comments upon the MENA region’s most significant issues and trends. Today we place the spotlight upon Iraq, where an extended political crisis has abruptly resulted in the occupation of the Iraqi parliament by the supporters of the influential leader Muqtada al-Sadr, and a potential confrontation

Libya’s Thickening Plot: Power, Oil and Clashes
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Libya’s Thickening Plot: Power, Oil and Clashes

29/07/2022

The MED This Week newsletter provides expert analysis and informed comments on the MENA region’s most significant issues and trends. Today, we turn the spotlight upon Libya, looking at the end of a three-month oil blockade in the country as well as the recent clashes among militias in Tripoli and Misrata. In Libya, oil has begun

Putin’s meeting with Raisi and Erdogan: What’s next for Syria?
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Putin’s meeting with Raisi and Erdogan: What’s next for Syria?

21/07/2022

The MED This Week newsletter provides expert analysis and informed comments on the MENA region’s most significant issues and trends. Today, we focus on the visit that Russian President Putin and Turkish President Erdogan paid to Tehran, where together with Iranian President Raisi, they discussed the Ukraine war and the Syrian conflict. On July the 19th,

Biden in the Middle East: Reigniting the US Agenda for the Region?
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Biden in the Middle East: Reigniting the US Agenda for the Region?

13/07/2022

The MED This Week newsletter provides expert analysis and informed insights on the most significant developments within the MENA region, bringing together unique opinions on the topic and reliable foresight on possible future scenarios. Today, we place the spotlight upon Joe Biden’s first trip to the Middle East as the American head of State, specificly aimed

Turkey: When International Ambitions Must Come to Terms with Economy
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Turkey: When International Ambitions Must Come to Terms with Economy

08/07/2022

The MED This Week newsletter provides expert analysis and informed insights upon the most significant developments in the MENA region, bringing together unique opinions on the topic and reliable foresight on possible future scenarios. Today, we turn the spotlight upon Turkey, where economic fragility at a national level is the backdrop for intense diplomatic activity abroad,

Israel: No break to a political crisis
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Israel: No break to a political crisis

01/07/2022

The MED This Week newsletter provides expert analysis and informed comments on the MENA region’s most significant issues and trends. Today, we focus on on the dismissal of Israel’s coalition government, zooming in on the country’s political crisis and external relations as it heads to new legislative elections. There seems to be no break to Israel’s political

Lebanon: New Government in the Making
ISPI MED this Week

Lebanon: New Government in the Making

24/06/2022

The MED This Week newsletter provides expert analysis and informed comments on the MENA region’s most significant issues and trends. Today, we focus on Lebanon, where Najib Miqati was just nominated Prime Minister-designate. On June 23, Lebanon’s caretaker Prime Minister Najib Miqati was appointed for a new term. This veteran politician will soon start the negotiations to

Tunisia’s National Strike: Turning the Tide?
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Tunisia’s National Strike: Turning the Tide?

16/06/2022

The MED This Week newsletter provides expert analysis and informed comments on the MENA region’s most significant issues and trends. Today, we turn the spotlight on the strike called by the Tunisian General Labour Union (UGTT) for June 16 and the country’s new constitutional process. On June 16, the million-member Tunisian General Labour Union (UGTT) has

Russia and the Gulf: Cooperation, No Matter What
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Russia and the Gulf: Cooperation, No Matter What

09/06/2022

The MED This Week newsletter provides expert analysis and informed comments on the MENA region’s most significant issues and trends. Today, we focus on Russia’s ties with the Gulf countries, discussing the consequences of Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov’s visit to Saudi Arabia. On May 31, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov arrived in Saudi Arabia

Iran: No End to Mounting Protests
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Iran: No End to Mounting Protests

01/06/2022

The MED This Week newsletter provides expert analysis and informed comments on the MENA region’s most significant issues and trends. Today, we focus on Iran, where a month of public protests over a cut in government subsidies on essential goods poses a new challenge to the Raisi administration. Iran is experiencing a new wave of popular dissent.

The Scramble for Libya
ISPI MED this Week

The Scramble for Libya

26/05/2022

The MED This Week newsletter provides expert analysis and informed comments on the MENA region’s most significant issues and trends. Today, we turn the spotlight on the recent clashes in Tripoli and the attempt by parliament-backed Prime Minister Bashagha to install himself and his cabinet in Libya’s capital. On May 17, Libya was on the verge

Khalifa bin Zayed’s Succession in the UAE: An Old New Course?
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Khalifa bin Zayed’s Succession in the UAE: An Old New Course?

19/05/2022

The MED This Week newsletter provides expert analysis and informed insights on the most significant developments in the MENA region, bringing together unique opinions on the topic and reliable foresight on future scenarios. Today, we turn the spotlight on the UAE, where following the death of Sheikh Khalifa, Mohammed bin Zayed was appointed as the new

Syria’s Future Still Hangs by a Thread
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Syria’s Future Still Hangs by a Thread

13/05/2022

The MED This Week newsletter provides expert analysis and informed insights on the most significant developments in the MENA region, bringing together unique opinions on the topic and reliable foresight on future scenarios. Today, we focus on Syria, recently back in the spotlight following the sixth edition of the EU-promoted Brussels Conference and Assad’s recent visit

Turkey’s New Diplomatic Shift
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Turkey’s New Diplomatic Shift

05/05/2022

The MED This Week newsletter provides expert analysis and informed insights on the most significant developments in the MENA region, bringing together unique opinions on the topic and reliable foresight on future scenarios. Today, we turn the spotlight on Turkey, as Erdogan recently visited Saudi Arabia for the first time in nearly five years. This is

Tensions in Jerusalem: What’s next?
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Tensions in Jerusalem: What’s next?

28/04/2022

The MED This Week newsletter provides expert analysis and informed comments on the MENA region’s most significant issues and trends. Today we turn the spotlight to Israel and the latest clashes in the Old City of Jerusalem, analysing their consequences at the local and regional levels. Tensions are mounting once again in Jerusalem. At the end

Yemen: Is the war nearing an end?
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Yemen: Is the war nearing an end?

22/04/2022

The MED This Week newsletter provides expert analysis and informed comments on the MENA region’s most significant issues and trends. Today we turn the spotlight on Yemen, where a nationwide truce serves as the backdrop for the inauguration of a new presidential council tasked with managing the country and leading the peace efforts with the Houthis.

Israel: Bennett Between the Hammer and the Anvil
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Israel: Bennett Between the Hammer and the Anvil

14/04/2022

Israel is experiencing one of its deadliest wave of violence in years. On April 7th, an attack in central Tel Aviv claimed the lives of three people and wounded some ten others. The shooting was the latest in a series of lethal aggressions across Israel, carried out since March 22nd by both Arab citizens of Israel and Palestinians from the West

Tunisia’s democracy: Not a storm in a teacup
ISPI MED this Week

Tunisia’s democracy: Not a storm in a teacup

07/04/2022

most significant issues and trends. Today, we turn the spotlight on Tunisia, where the ongoing political crisis has intensified after President Kais Saied dissolved the Parliament, which had been frozen since July. This move has further plunged the country into political turmoil and stoked fears of a nascent autocracy. In his latest effort to consolidate power, Tunisia’s President

MENA Oil & Gas in the Energy Crisis: A Thorn Bed for Washington?
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MENA Oil & Gas in the Energy Crisis: A Thorn Bed for Washington?

31/03/2022

The MED This Week newsletter provides expert analysis and informed comments on the MENA region’s most significant issues and trends. Today we turn the spotlight on the challenges the United States is facing to shore up ties with unsatisfied allies in the Middle East and North Africa and tackle today’s energy crisis. The United States is

Assad in the UAE: A Watershed Moment for the Syrian thaw?
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Assad in the UAE: A Watershed Moment for the Syrian thaw?

24/03/2022

The MED This Week newsletter provides expert analysis and informed insights on the most significant developments in the MENA region, bringing together unique opinions on the topic and reliable foresight on future scenarios. Today, we turn the spotlight on Syrian President Bashar Al-Assad’s visit to the UAE, his first trip to an Arab country in over

Iran, Russia and the JCPOA: Is a year of negotiations at risk?
ISPI MED this Week

Iran, Russia and the JCPOA: Is a year of negotiations at risk?

18/03/2022

The MED This Week newsletter provides expert analysis and informed insights on the most significant developments in the MENA region, bringing together unique opinions on the topic and reliable foresight on future scenarios. Today, we turn the spotlight on the Iran nuclear talks, focusing on the consequences of the last-minute requests raised by Russia in this

War in Ukraine: A food crisis in the MENA region?
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War in Ukraine: A food crisis in the MENA region?

10/03/2022

The MED This Week newsletter provides expert analysis and informed insights on the most significant developments in the MENA region, bringing together unique opinions on the topic and reliable foresight on future scenarios. This week, we focus on the rise in food prices that the MENA region is experiencing in the wake of the Russia-Ukraine war.

Putin’s invasion of Ukraine: A wake-up call also for the MENA region?
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Putin’s invasion of Ukraine: A wake-up call also for the MENA region?

03/03/2022

The MED This Week newsletter provides expert analysis and informed insights on the most significant developments in the MENA region, bringing together unique opinions on the topic and reliable foresight on future scenarios. Today, we turn the spotlight on Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, focusing on how countries in the MENA region are reacting to the outbreak

The end of Barkhane in Mali: What’s next for the Sahel?
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The end of Barkhane in Mali: What’s next for the Sahel?

24/02/2022

The MED This Week newsletter provides expert analysis and informed insights on the most significant developments in the MENA region, bringing together unique opinions on the topic and reliable foresight on future scenarios. Today, we turn the spotlight on the French withdrawal from Mali, a pivotal moment for the future of the Sahel and North Africa

Libya: Sowing New Seeds of Instability
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Libya: Sowing New Seeds of Instability

16/02/2022

The MED This Week newsletter provides expert analysis and informed comments on the MENA region’s most significant issues and trends. Today we turn the spotlight on Libya, where the Tobruk Parliament’s move to nominate a new prime minister has reopened divisions between rival factions, raising fears of renewed instability in the fragile country.  Libya seems to

Israel and the Gulf: A Security Partnership Around the Corner?
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Israel and the Gulf: A Security Partnership Around the Corner?

10/02/2022

The MED This Week newsletter provides expert analysis and informed insights on the most significant developments in the MENA region, bringing together unique opinions on the topic and reliable foresight on future scenarios. Today we focus on the broadening technological and military partnership between Israel and the Arab Gulf States. A year and a half after

From Washington to Tehran: Doha’s Diplomacy at Work
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From Washington to Tehran: Doha’s Diplomacy at Work

03/02/2022

The MED This Week newsletter provides expert analysis and informed insights on the most significant developments in the MENA region, bringing together unique opinions on the topic and reliable foresight on future scenarios. Today, we focus on Qatar, whose recent vibrant diplomatic role has been emphasized by its involvement in a broad range of issues discussed

Iraq and Syria: Is Daesh Coming Back?
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Iraq and Syria: Is Daesh Coming Back?

27/01/2022

The MED This Week newsletter provides expert analysis and informed insights on the most significant developments in the MENA region, bringing together unique opinions on the topic and reliable foresight on future scenarios. Today we focus on the Islamic State’s recent activity in Syria and Iraq. The latest attack on a prison in northeast Syria is

Assessing Biden’s Middle East policy, One Year In
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Assessing Biden’s Middle East policy, One Year In

20/01/2022

The MED This Week newsletter provides expert analysis and informed insights on the most significant developments in the MENA region, bringing together unique opinions on the topic and reliable foresight on future scenarios. Today, we turn the spotlight on the first year of the Biden administration, focusing on the evolution of the US’ approach to several

The Gulf and China: A Broadening Partnership?
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The Gulf and China: A Broadening Partnership?

14/01/2022

The MED This Week newsletter provides expert analysis and informed insights on the most significant developments in the MENA region, bringing together unique opinions on the topic and reliable foresight on future scenarios. Today, we focus on the recent visits of Gulf representatives to China, in the attempt to enhance their respective bilateral relations with

Institutionalised (In)Security: Exploring the MENA Region’s Governance Crises
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Institutionalised (In)Security: Exploring the MENA Region’s Governance Crises

29/11/2021

After a decade of popular uprisings and civil wars, the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region is experiencing a deep governance crisis. The transformation, weakening or even the collapse of state institutions has changed the security framework, with direct implications for processes of Security Sector Governance and Reform (SSG/R).This report, produced in collaboration between ISPI and

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